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Economic Forecast

Periodically, Aspen Funds will publish a new economic forecast report focused on macro-economic trends. Bob Fraser has written economic newsletters for many years, and is a well-respected authority, having helped thousands navigate through the changing economic cycles. He has an impressive track record forecasting trends related to real estate, currencies, commodities and the stock market.

Fall 2018 Forecast imgDownload

Published 09/18/18

The U.S. Housing Market 2018: Bubble or Boom?

As housing prices have risen now for 5 years, thoughts of the 2005-6 housing bubble are inevitably returning. Since bottoming in February 2012, housing prices have risen steadily. In the largest metro areas, prices have fully recovered, to just below the 2006 peak. Nationwide, prices are now approximately 10% above the July 2006 peak. With interest rates rising and affordability dropping, many fear we are once again entering into housing bubble territory.

The concerns are primarily driven by rising mortgage interest rates and decreasing affordabili ...

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Frequently Asked Questions

Q: How long has Aspen Funds been managing funds?

A: Aspen has been managing note funds since 2013. The Aspen Income Fund was started in 2013 and since then we have never missed a preferred return payment, nor have we lost any investor’s principal investment capital.

Q: What is the minimum investment?

A: The minimum investment in Aspen Income Fund is $50,000.

Q: What is the initial lock-up period on this fund?

A: The initial lock-up period for this fund is 1 year. After 1-year we provide best-efforts liquidity and allow investors the option to redeem their shares on a quarterly basis with 90 days written notice.

Q: Is this an open-ended fund?

A: Yes, this fund is open-ended, also known as an evergreen fund. We calculate Net Asset Value (NAV) on a quarterly basis and allow investors to subscribe and redeem at the current share price.

Q: How and when do I receive my preferred returns?

A: Upon initial investment, we have a 3-month delay period (in order to deploy capital). Then, investors will receive their preferred returns monthly either by direct deposit (ACH) or by check.

Q: Is this a passive investment?

A: Yes, investing in the private fund is completely passive. When investing in a private fund, you are leveraging our management company’s experience in this business and participate in a diversified portfolio. Investors receive their monthly preferred return by either wire or check.

Q: How often will I be updated about my investment?

A: On a monthly basis, investors receive their preferred return. Quarterly, we provide capital account statements, investor newsletters, and financial statements. We also always welcome calls from our investors.

Q: Will I own a specific note?

A: If you invest, you become a part owner of the fund versus a specific note. Therefore, your capital is diversified across all the notes in the portfolio.

Q: Do I need to be an accredited investor to invest in the fund?

A: Yes, our funds currently only allow accredited investors.

Q: Can I invest with an IRA or 401K?

A: Yes, our funds allow investment through qualified retirement money. This must be done through a self-directed IRA or 401K. If you don’t yet have a self-directed account, we can make introductions to several custodians that we have worked with. Additionally, our funds do not generate Unrelated Business Income Tax (UBIT).

Q: What is an accredited investor?

A: An individual or an entity can generally qualify as an accredited investor if they meet at least one of the following criteria:

  • an individual with income exceeding $200,000 or joint income with his or her spouse of at least $300,000, in each of the last two years with the expectation to reasonably maintain the same level of income in the present year
  • an individual with a net worth exceeding $1 million, excluding the primary residence, either individually or jointly with his or her spouse;
  • an entity that has assets exceeding $5 million that was not formed solely for the purpose of making the investment; or
  • an entity whose owners all satisfy 1, 2, or 3 above.

For more information about the requirements of an accredited investor, see this bulletin from the SEC.

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In the last two sections of our economic analysis, we covered several of the key fundamental drivers of the economy and the direction of these “tides.” If you missed either of the last two articles, you can read them here:  2020 Economic Forecast – Economy (Part 1)2020 Economic Forecast – Economy...

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2020 Economic Forecast - US Economy - Part 2

Last week we shared Part 1 of our analysis of the current state of the U.S. Economy. We covered our approach to understanding economic “tides”, U.S. Employment and Household Income, and Consumer & Business Sentiment. If you missed last week’s analysis, you can read it here: 2020 Economic Forecast – Economy (Part...

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Recently, we have been frequently asked by investors about our perspective on the economy as we head into 2020. Are we heading into a recession? When will this happen? Will it be as bad as 2008? Obviously, this is something on the forefront of investor’s minds. But, it’s also hard...

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Some of Our Favorite Investing Podcasts

Here's a roundup of some high-quality podcasts on real estate, investing, and generating cash flow: Old Dawg's REI Network by Bill Manassero - This network is a community of people who are in or near retirement who are interested in generating increased cash flow throughout their retirement years. And here's...

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Watch The Webinar

The Aspen Income Fund Deep Dive webinar covers many topics about the Aspen Income Fund in great details, including:

How to generate consistent income passively

Real examples of real estate notes and how they work

How private investments compare to other asset classes

The keys to conservatively underwriting these assets

Why it's better to be the bank

About Aspen's historical track record

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